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Table 9 Moderating effect of climate policy on the relationship between environmental performance and excess stock returns

From: Excess stock returns and corporate environmental performance in China

 

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(7)

(8)

LOGGREEN

0.010***

0.008***

0.002

0.000

0.040***

0.039***

0.022***

0.021***

(3.22)

(2.60)

(0.62)

(0.09)

(9.36)

(9.02)

(4.88)

(4.48)

POLICY

2.969***

2.978***

      

(16.81)

(16.85)

      

L1.POLICY

  

1.713***

1.722***

    
  

(8.72)

(8.77)

    

L6.POLICY

    

6.749***

6.787***

  
    

(24.14)

(24.25)

  

L12.POLICY

      

115.420***

115.647***

      

(54.53)

(54.65)

POLICY*LOGGREEN

− 0.023

 −  0.024

      

(− 0.53)

(− 0.55)

      

L1.POLICY*LOGGREEN

  

0.093*

0.092*

    
  

(1.82)

(1.79)

    

L6.POLICY*LOGGREEN

   

− 0.541***

− 0.549***

   
    

(− 7.70)

(− 7.81)

  

L12.POLICY*LOGGREEN

      

− 0.249***

− 0.251***

      

(− 3.21)

(− 3.22)

Constant

− 0.401***

− 0.380***

− 0.243***

− 0.222***

− 0.563***

− 0.544***

− 8.704***

− 8.699***

(− 28.12)

(− 25.37)

(− 17.87)

(− 15.39)

(− 29.95)

(− 28.13)

(− 55.31)

(− 55.31)

Control

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

Industry fixed effects

N

Y

N

Y

N

Y

N

Y

Year/month fixed effects

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

Observations

221,500

221,500

221,500

221,500

221,500

221,500

221,500

221,500

Adjusted R2

0.3605

0.3618

0.3606

0.3618

0.3607

0.3620

0.3606

0.3618

  1. This table reports the results for the regression tests of the moderating effect of climate policy (POLICY) on the relationship between environmental performance (LOGGREEN) and excess stock returns (RET), with controls and robust standard errors clustered at the firm level. The sample period is March 2014 to November 2021, and the unit of observation is a month. Columns (1) and (2) show the results for contemporaneous moderating effects of the climate-policy index, columns (3) and (4) for moderating effects of the one-month lagged climate-policy index, columns (5) and (6) for moderating effects of the six-month lagged climate-policy index, and columns (7) and (8) for moderating effects of the one-year lagged climate-policy index. All variables are defined in Table 2. All regressions include year-month fixed effects, and columns (2), (4), (6), and (8) additionally include industry fixed effects. *, **, and *** denote significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively