From: How do supply or demand shocks affect the US oil market?
ADF | PP | KPSS | Ng-Perron | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
\({\overline{\text{M}}\text{Z}}_{\upalpha }^{{{\text{GLS}}}}\) | \({\overline{\text{M}}\text{Z}}_{{\text{t}}}^{{{\text{GLS}}}}\) | \({\overline{\text{M}}\text{SB}}^{{{\text{GLS}}}}\) | \({\overline{\text{M}}\text{PT}}^{{{\text{GLS}}}}\) | ||||
Level | |||||||
WTI | − 2.153 | − 2.166 | 0.243*** | − 9.509 | − 2.127 | 0.223 | 9.819 |
Conv. Gasoline | − 2.260 | − 2.268 | 0.276*** | − 11.597 | − 2.319 | 0.200 | 8.334 |
RBOB | − 3.529* | − 3.559* | 0.251*** | − 25.982*** | − 3.545*** | 0.136*** | 3.864*** |
Heating Oil | − 3.352* | − 3.521* | 0.245*** | − 8.655 | − 2.009 | 0.232 | 10.795 |
Diesel NY | − 2.009 | − 2.013 | 0.242*** | − 9.338 | − 2.072 | 0.222 | 10.137 |
Kerosene | − 2.016 | − 2.011 | 0.236*** | − 9.199 | − 2.062 | 0.224 | 10.253 |
First differences | |||||||
WTI | − 24.849*** | − 24.874*** | 0.056 | − 409.220*** | − 14.304*** | 0.035*** | 0.059*** |
Conv. Gasoline | − 22.862*** | − 22.916*** | 0.064 | − 393.127*** | 14.017*** | 0.036*** | 0.065*** |
RBOB | − 23.159*** | − 23.303*** | 0.042 | − 386.337*** | − 13.896*** | 0.036*** | 0.066*** |
Heating Oil | − 24.294*** | − 41.001*** | 0.082 | − 26.118*** | − 3.610*** | 0.138*** | 0.952*** |
Diesel NY | − 24.361*** | − 33.136*** | 0.088 | − 49.624*** | − 4.980*** | 0.100*** | 0.496*** |
WTI | − 24.326*** | − 43.328*** | 0.077 | − 16.821*** | − 2.875*** | 0.171*** | 1.552*** |