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Table 4 Estimation results: DCC-GARCH models

From: Volatility spillovers, structural breaks and uncertainty in technology sector markets

 

ATE

SP5

MWO

ESG

OIL

GLD

USD

BND

Panel A: DCC-GJR-GARCH (1,1) model for ATE

Estimated parameters—mean equation AR(1)

AR(1)

− 0.020

− 0.051***

0.117***

0.131***

− 0.033**

− 0.022

0.012

− 0.017

 

(0.014)

(0.015)

(0.016)

(0.016)

(0.015)

(0.016)

(0.013)

(0.014)

 

Estimated parameters—variance equation

ARCH (α)

0.010

− 0.015**

0.005

0.0048

0.019**

0.034***

0.01***

0.039***

 

(0.007)

(0.007)

(0.010)

(0.0083)

(0.007)

(0.008)

(0.004)

(0.008)

GARCH (β)

0.911***

0.899***

0.902***

0.9018***

0.950***

0.963***

0.972***

0.960***

 

(0.011)

(0.011)

(0.014)

(0.0127)

(0.008)

(0.009)

(0.003)

(0.008)

Gamma (γ)

0.125***

0.189***

0.152***

0.1529***

0.050***

− 0.008

0.013**

− 0.007

 

(0.017)

(0.021)

(0.020)

(0.0195)

(0.010)

(0.011)

(0.005)

(0.007)

ρ with ATE

 

0.900***

0.820***

0.6171***

0.1762**

− 0.011

0.027

− 0.311***

 

MIT

SP5

MWO

ESG

OIL

GLD

USD

BND

Panel B: DCC-GJR-GARCH (1,1) model for MIT

Estimated parameters—mean equation AR(1)

AR(1)

0.073***

− 0.051***

0.117***

0.131***

− 0.033**

− 0.022

0.012

− 0.017

 

(0.014)

(0.015)

(0.016)

(0.016)

(0.015)

(0.016)

(0.013)

(0.014)

 

Estimated parameters—variance equation

ARCH (α)

0.016*

− 0.015**

0.005

0.004

0.019**

0.034***

0.010***

0.039***

 

(0.008)

(0.007)

(0.010)

(0.008)

(0.007)

(0.008)

(0.004)

(0.008)

GARCH (β)

0.905***

0.899***

0.902***

0.901***

0.950***

0.963***

0.972***

0.960***

 

(0.013)

(0.011)

(0.014)

(0.012)

(0.008)

(0.009)

(0.003)

(0.008)

Gamma (γ)

0.122***

0.189***

0.152***

0.152***

0.050***

− 0.008

0.013**

− 0.007

 

(0.018)

(0.021)

(0.020)

(0.019)

(0.010)

(0.011)

(0.005)

(0.007)

ρ with MIT

 

0.863***

0.841***

0.643***

0.190***

0.028

0.067

− 0.289***

 

ABI

SP5

MWO

ESG

OIL

GLD

USD

BND

Panel C: DCC-GJR-GARCH (1,1) model for ABI

Estimated parameters—mean equation AR(1)

AR(1)

− 0.003

− 0.051***

0.117***

0.131***

− 0.033**

− 0.022

0.012

− 0.017

 

(0.015)

(0.015)

(0.016)

(0.016)

(0.015)

(0.016)

(0.013)

(0.014)

 

Estimated parameters—variance equation

ARCH (α)

0.031***

− 0.015**

0.005

0.004

0.019**

0.034***

0.010***

0.039***

 

(0.009)

(0.007)

(0.010)

(0.008)

(0.007)

(0.008)

(0.004)

(0.008)

GARCH (β)

0.927***

0.899***

0.902***

0.901***

0.950***

0.963***

0.972***

0.960***

 

(0.012)

(0.011)

(0.014)

(0.012)

(0.008)

(0.009)

(0.003)

(0.008)

Gamma (γ)

0.059

0.189***

0.152***

0.152***

0.050***

− 0.008

0.013**

− 0.007

 

(0.014)

(0.021)

(0.020)

(0.019)

(0.010)

(0.011)

(0.005)

(0.007)

ρ with ABI

 

0.662***

0.587***

0.427***

0.094**

− 0.011

0.013

− 0.213***

 

SPC

SP5

MWO

ESG

OIL

GLD

USD

BND

Panel D: DCC− GARCH (1,1) model for SPC

Estimated parameters—mean equation ARMA (1,0)

AR(1)

0.157***

− 0.056***

0.119***

0.123***

− 0.034**

− 0.015

0.006

− 0.029*

 

(0.016)

(0.016)

(0.016)

(0.016)

(0.016)

(0.017)

(0.015)

(0.015)

 

Estimated parameters—variance equation

ARCH (α)

0.088***

0.115***

0.1097***

0.105***

0.053***

0.035***

0.029***

0.032***

 

(0.012)

(0.014)

(0.016)

(0.016)

(0.008)

(0.009)

(0.003)

(0.007)

GARCH (β)

0.902***

0.861***

0.878***

0.878***

0.941***

0.959***

0.969***

0.963***

 

(0.013)

(0.015)

(0.017)

(0.017)

(0.009)

(0.010)

(0.003)

(0.008)

ρ with SPC

 

0.088***

0.049***

0.017

0.033

0.005

− 0.007

− 0.002

 

FIN

SP5

MWO

ESG

OIL

GLD

USD

BND

Panel E: DCC-GARCH (1,1) model for FIN

Estimated parameters—mean equation AR(1)

AR(1)

0.000

− 0.053

0.073*

0.101***

− 0.032

− 0.026

0.062*

− 0.049

 

(0.038)

(0.041)

(0.039)

(0.036)

(0.033)

(0.028)

(0.034)

(0.035)

 

Estimated parameters—variance equation

ARCH (α)

0.130**

0.198***

0.213***

0.173***

0.039***

0.005

0.020

0.036

 

(0.054)

(0.049)

(0.059)

(0.048)

(0.0131)

(0.006)

(0.013)

(0.029)

GARCH (β)

0.830***

0.763***

0.742***

0.686***

0.937***

0.975***

0.978***

0.941***

 

(0.064)

(0.038)

(0.052)

(0.084)

(0.022)

(0.011)

(0.013)

(0.058)

ρ with FIN

 

0.734***

0.729***

0.531***

0.128**

− 0.069

− 0.000

− 0.275***

 

BTC

SP5

MWO

ESG

OIL

GLD

USD

BND

Panel F: DCC-GARCH (1,1) model for BTC

Estimated parameters—mean equation AR(1)

AR(1)

0.067**

− 0.053*

0.095***

0.130***

− 0.048*

− 0.043*

0.030

− 0.057**

 

(0.033)

(0.031)

(0.031)

(0.029)

(0.028)

(0.024)

(0.028)

(0.028)

 

Estimated parameters—variance equation

ARCH (α)

0.134***

0.211***

0.212***

0.138***

0.058***

0.012***

0.018***

0.020**

 

(0.033)

(0.040)

(0.048)

(0.034)

(0.014)

(0.004)

(0.006)

(0.010)

GARCH (β)

0.818***

0.742***

0.749***

0.838***

0.922***

0.984***

0.981***

0.974***

 

(0.041)

(0.034)

(0.040)

(0.037)

(0.021)

(0.006)

(0.006)

(0.013)

ρ with BTC

 

− 0.017

0.0008

− 0.0072

− 0.0048

0.0380

0.0333

− 0.0087

  1. Values () are the standard deviation of the estimated parameters in mean and variance equations. The asterisk *, **, and *** indicate statistical significance at 10%, 5%, and 1% levels. The ρ indicates a conditional correlation coefficient