Variable | Long-run coefficients | Short-run coefficients | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Coefficient | SE | Coefficient | SE | |
Model selection: (2, 2, 0, 0, 3, 0, 3) | ||||
lnRHPt−1 | 1.1971*** | 0.0668 | ||
lnRHPt−2 | − 0.4428*** | 0.0664 | ||
lnNEERt+ | − 0.2732*** | 0.0581 | − 0.0108*** | 0.0031 |
lnNEERt−1+ | − 0.0627* | 0.0322 | ||
lnNEERt−2+ | − 0.0692 | 0.0551 | ||
lnNEERt− | 0.4899*** | 0.0615 | 0.0347** | 0.0141 |
lnMPt+ | − 0.0262*** | 0.0089 | − 0.0210*** | 0.0053 |
lnMPt− | 0.1592*** | 0.0499 | − 0.0455*** | 0.0082 |
lnMPt−1− | 0.0018* | 0.0010 | ||
lnMPt−2− | − 0.0017* | 0.0009 | ||
lnMPt−3− | 0.0015 | 0.0095 | ||
lnEPRt+ | 0.4813*** | 0.0627 | 0.0232** | 0.0096 |
lnEPRt− | − 0.1281 | 0.0809 | − 0.0154 | 0.0565 |
lnEPRt−1− | − 0.1098 | 0.0853 | ||
lnEPRt−2− | 0.1647* | 0.0866 | ||
lnEPRt−3− | − 0.1654 | 0.1066 | ||
D_2004:09 | − 0.00398 | 0.0033 | ||
D_2008:08 | − 0.00597 | 0.0043 | ||
D_2011:09 | 0.00011 | 0.0032 | ||
D_2014:03 | 0.00443 | 0.0031 | ||
ECMt−1 | − 0.2878*** | 0.0391 | ||
Constant | 1.0378*** | 0.1528 | ||
FPSS | 6.5388*** | |||
tBDM | − 4.7352*** |