\(Trades_{i,t}\) | \(Turnover_{i,t}\) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | |
FE | SYS-GMM | FE | SYS-GMM | FE | SYS-GMM | FE | SYS-GMM | |
\(Leader\ comment_{i,t-1}\) | 0.0376\(^{***}\) | 0.0312\(^{**}\) | 0.0426\(^{***}\) | 0.0615\(^{**}\) | ||||
(4.54) | (2.28) | (3.67) | (2.25) | |||||
\(Leader\ count_{i,t-1}\) | 0.0194\(^{***}\) | 0.0211\(^{**}\) | 0.0186\(^{***}\) | 0.0318\(^{**}\) | ||||
(4.30) | (2.14) | (3.27) | (1.99) | |||||
\(Leader\ positive_{i,t-1}\) | − 0.0076 | − 1.0604 | 0.0314 | − 1.7731 | ||||
(− 0.10) | (− 1.07) | (0.28) | (− 1.19) | |||||
\(Leader\ negative_{i,t-1}\) | 0.0853 | −0.0543 | 0.0572 | 1.1341 | ||||
(1.37) | (− 0.07) | (0.66) | (0.82) | |||||
\(Return_{i,t-1}\) | 0.5488\(^{***}\) | 3.0923\(^{***}\) | 0.6324\(^{***}\) | 0.9563\(^{***}\) | − 0.0142 | 5.6802\(^{***}\) | 0.0765 | 0.7684\(^{***}\) |
(5.48) | (2.82) | (5.83) | (9.13) | (− 0.09) | (2.92) | (0.18) | (3.97) | |
\(Return\ SD_{i,t-1}\) | 0.4923\(^{***}\) | 2.1796\(^{**}\) | 0.4139\(^{**}\) | 2.1503\(^{**}\) | 1.0030\(^{***}\) | 3.5414\(^{*}\) | 0.8775\(^{**}\) | 2.0270 |
(2.95) | (2.54) | (2.08) | (2.37) | (3.31) | (1.73) | (2.47) | (0.96) | |
\(No.securities_{i,t-1}\) | 0.4182\(^{***}\) | 0.0153\(^{**}\) | 0.4605\(^{***}\) | 0.0067 | 0.2717\(^{***}\) | 0.0077 | 0.2944\(^{***}\) | − 0.0383\(^{**}\) |
(25.10) | (2.16) | (23.90) | (0.66) | (13.82) | (0.82) | (13.09) | (− 2.17) | |
\(No.followers_{i,t-1}\) | 0.0687\(^{**}\) | 0.0327 | 0.0618\(^{**}\) | 0.0565\(^{**}\) | 0.0782\(^{**}\) | 0.0356 | 0.0749\(^{**}\) | 0.0797\(^{**}\) |
(2.52) | (1.42) | (1.98) | (2.03) | (2.49) | (1.10) | ( 2.48) | (2.15) | |
\(Portfolio\ age_{i,t-1}\) | − 0.0973\(^{***}\) | − 0.0199\(^{***}\) | − 0.1394\(^{***}\) | 0.0170\(^{***}\) | − 0.0214\(^{***}\) | − 0.0834\(^{***}\) | − 0.1379\(^{***}\) | − 0.0208\(^{*}\) |
(− 7.00) | (− 3.98) | (− 6.38) | (− 2.62) | (− 4.42) | (− 2.85) | (− 4.74) | (− 1.85) | |
\(No.leaders_{i,t-1}\) | 0.0570\(^{***}\) | 0.0101 | 0.0759\(^{***}\) | 0.0001 | 0.0438\(^{**}\) | − 0.0002 | 0.0595\(^{***}\) | − 0.0183 |
(3.32) | (0.86) | (3.83) | (0.01) | (2.35) | (− 0.01) | (2.91) | (− 0.85) | |
\(\text{Leader return}_{i,t-1}\) | 0.1656\(^{**}\) | 0.4494 | 0.2279\(^{**}\) | 0.6164 | 0.2740\(^{**}\) | 5.1342\(^{**}\) | 0.3864\(^{**}\) | 0.7146 |
(2.23) | (0.67) | (2.05) | (0.54) | (2.54) | (2.11) | (2.39) | (0.38) | |
\(Leader\ SD_{i,t-1}\) | 0.4816\(^{**}\) | 0.3889 | 0.5476 | 1.8236 | 0.5091\(^{*}\) | 1.6131 | 0.3744 | 5.1628\(^{**}\) |
(2.31) | (0.57) | (1.49) | (1.49) | (1.67) | (0.99) | (0.76) | (2.02) | |
\(Leader\ trades_{i,t-1}\) | 0.0394\(^{***}\) | − 0.0003 | 0.0399\(^{***}\) | 0.0011 | 0.0341\(^{**}\) | − 0.0223 | 0.0243 | 0.0009 |
(4.16) | (− 0.03) | (3.66) | (0.05) | (2.31) | (− 1.08) | (1.48) | (0.02) | |
\(Leader\ followers_{i,t-1}\) | 0.0158\(^{**}\) | 0.0070 | 0.0123 | 0.0004 | 0.0118 | − 0.0075 | 0.0114 | − 0.0163 |
(2.12) | (1.57) | (1.19) | (0.05) | (1.23) | (− 1.05) | (0.86) | (− 1.30) | |
\(Leader\ securities_{i,t-1}\) | 0.0141 | 0.0009 | 0.0180 | 0.0011 | 0.0121 | − 0.0049 | 0.0380 | − 0.0041 |
(1.16) | (0.14) | (1.11) | (0.10) | (0.64) | (− 0.47) | (1.59) | (− 0.19) | |
\(Leader\ age_{i,t-1}\) | −0.0271\(^{***}\) | − 0.0084 | − 0.0366\(^{***}\) | −0.0146 | −0.0228\(^{**}\) | −0.0054 | −0.0404\(^{***}\) | − 0.0111 |
(− 4.13) | (− 1.48) | (−3.40) | (− 1.32) | (− 2.59) | (− 0.60) | (− 2.89) | (− 0.60) | |
\(Y_{i,t-1}\) | 0.5925\(^{***}\) | 0.7528\(^{***}\) | 0.7454\(^{***}\) | 0.6138\(^{***}\) | ||||
(4.65) | (12.08) | (3.87) | (5.31) | |||||
\(Y_{i,t-2}\) | 0.3613\(^{*}\) | 0.0565 | 0.0553 | −0.0372 | ||||
(1.85) | (0.40) | (0.26) | (−0.23) | |||||
\(Y_{i,t-3}\) | −0.1001 | 0.0308 | 0.0350 | 0.0679 | ||||
(−0.89) | (0.33) | (0.43) | (0.52) | |||||
\(Y_{i,t-4}\) | 0.0089 | − 0.0053 | 0.0039 | 0.1078 | ||||
(0.68) | (0.43) | (0.20) | (0.72) | |||||
\(Y_{i,t-5}\) | − 0.0116\(^{*}\) | − 0.0088 | 0.0067 | − 0.016 | ||||
(− 1.29) | (− 1.24) | (0.68) | (−0.06) | |||||
Portfolio fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Time fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Observations | 262,457 | 243,880 | 150,447 | 140,419 | 262,457 | 243,880 | 150,447 | 140,419 |
Adjusted \(R^2\) | 0.3259 | – | 0.3365 | – | 0.3267 | – | 0.3421 | – |
AR(1) test (p value) | – | 0.003 | – | 0.000 | – | 0.004 | – | 0.000 |
AR(2) test (p value) | – | 0.332 | – | 0.502 | – | 0.687 | – | 0.454 |
Hansen test of over-identification (p value) | – | 0.183 | – | 0.361 | – | 0.300 | – | 0.389 |
Diff-in-Hansen test of exogeneity (p value) | – | 0.561 | – | 0.199 | – | 0.242 | – | 0.679 |