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Table 2 Bayesian estimation results of volatility parameters

From: Higher-order dynamic effects of uncertainty risk under thick-tailed stochastic volatility

Parameter

Prior confidence interval

Posterior mean

Parameter

Prior confidence interval

Posterior mean

μa

(-0.52, 0.12)

− 0.23

φg

(0.71, 0.74)

0.72

μb

(3.82, 5.36)

4.74

φz

(0.72, 0.75)

0.73

μg

(0.62, 1.01)

0.88

σa2

(0.01, 0.04)

0.02

μz

(1.01, 2.18)

1.33

σb2

(0.01, 0.03)

0.01

φa

(0.71, 0.79)

0.74

σg2

(0.01, 0.04)

0.02

φb

(0.71, 0,78)

0.72

σz2

(0.01, 0.04)

0.02