Skip to main content

Table 6 Estimated vector error-correction model in the VAR representation (on logarithmic market capitalizations)

From: On the role of stablecoins in cryptoasset pricing dynamics

 

estimate

SE

t-stat

p value

Bitcoin equation

intercept

0.1042

0.0772

1.3490

0.1775

\(\Delta BTC_{t-1}\)

0.0397

0.0406

0.9782

0.3281

\(\Delta BTC_{t-2}\)

− 0.0143

0.0371

− 0.3838

0.7011

\(\Delta Alts_{t-1}\)

− 0.0745

0.0285

− 2.6150

0.0090

\(\Delta Alts_{t-2}\)

0.0474

0.0255

1.8600

0.0631

\(\Delta Stable_{t-1}\)

− 0.0375

0.0232

− 1.6170

0.1059

\(\Delta Stable_{t-2}\)

0.0357

0.0216

1.6510

0.1059

\(BTC_{t-1}\)

− 0.0077

0.0053

− 1.4620

0.1440

\(Alts_{t-1}\)

0.0037

0.0027

1.3750

0.1693

\(Stable_{t-1}\)

− 0.0004

0.0024

− 0.1844

0.8537

t

< 0.0001

< 0.0001

0.8117

0.4171

 

\(R^2\)

0.0145

F(10,1941)

2.7592

 

\({\bar{R}}^2\)

0.0094

p value

0.0022

 

\({\hat{\rho }}\)

− 0.0008

D-W stat

2.0007

Altcoins equation

intercept

− 0.0281

0.1073

− 0.2622

0.7932

\(\Delta BTC_{t-1}\)

− 0.0619

0.0462

− 1.3390

0.1808

\(\Delta BTC_{t-2}\)

0.0343

0.0386

0.8887

0.3743

\(\Delta Alts_{t-1}\)

0.0083

0.0421

0.1971

0.8438

\(\Delta Alts_{t-2}\)

0.0293

0.0285

1.0290

0.3038

\(\Delta Stable_{t-1}\)

− 0.0583

0.0261

− 2.2360

0.0254

\(\Delta Stable_{t-2}\)

0.0608

0.0297

2.0450

0.0410

\(BTC_{t-1}\)

0.0041

0.0076

0.5436

0.5868

\(Alts_{t-1}\)

− 0.0044

0.0045

− 0.9704

0.3320

\(Stable_{t-1}\)

0.0023

0.0037

0.6210

0.5347

t

> − 0.0001

< 0.0001

− 0.8494

0.3957

 

\(R^2\)

0.0109

F(10,1941)

1.6235

 

\({\bar{R}}^2\)

0.0058

p value

0.0940

 

\({\hat{\rho }}\)

− 0.0010

D-W stat

2.0014

Stablecoins equation

intercept

− 0.1698

0.0545

− 3.1150

0.0019

\(\Delta BTC_{t-1}\)

− 0.0279

0.0291

− 0.9581

0.3382

\(\Delta BTC_{t-2}\)

0.0566

0.0351

1.6110

0.1073

\(\Delta Alts_{t-1}\)

0.0451

0.0286

1.5760

0.1151

\(\Delta Alts_{t-2}\)

− 0.0112

0.0256

− 0.4384

0.6612

\(\Delta Stable_{t-1}\)

− 0.0271

0.0198

− 1.3680

0.1714

\(\Delta Stable_{t-2}\)

0.0178

0.0117

1.5250

0.1274

\(BTC_{t-1}\)

0.0085

0.0048

1.7780

0.0755

\(Alts_{t-1}\)

0.0082

0.0041

2.0020

0.0454

\(Stable_{t-1}\)

− 0.0137

0.0036

− 3.8250

0.0001

t

< 0.0001

< 0.0001

2.8400

0.0046

 

\(R^2\)

0.0223

F(10,1941)

4.2237

 

\({\bar{R}}^2\)

0.0173

p value

0.0001

 

\({\hat{\rho }}\)

0.0001

D-W stat

1.9997

  1. The cointegrated VAR is estimated with 2 lags and an unrestricted trend as described in the main text. Heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC) standard errors (SE) are reported