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Table 1 Variable descriptions

From: Can news-based economic sentiment predict bubbles in precious metal markets?

Variable

Description

Source

NESI

The news-based economic sentiment index

Developed by Shapiro, Hale, Sudhof, and Wilson (2020), available at San Francisco Fed’s website: https://www.frbsf.org/economicresearch/indicators-data/daily-news-sentiment-index/

MCSI

Consumer Sentiment Index

Developed by University of Michigan, retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UMCSENT

SIBW

Sentiment index of Baker and Wurgler (2006)

Developed by Baker and Wurgler (2006), available at: http://people.stern.nyu.edu/jwurgler/

Inflation

Measured as the monthly percentage change in Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Federal Reserve Economic Data of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

USDI

USD dollar index

Federal Reserve Economic Data of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

EFR

Effective Federal Funds Rate

Federal Reserve Economic Data of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

T-Spread

Interest rate yield spread measured as the difference between 10-year and 2-year US bonds constant maturity rate

Federal Reserve Economic Data of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

GEA

Kilian global real economic activity index

Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas