From: Stressed portfolio optimization with semiparametric method
Period | Markowitz model | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VOO | TLT | LQD | IAU | VNQ | Volatility | Return | SR | CVaR | |
2015.10–2015.12 | 0.177457 | 0.236393 | 0.237593 | 0.251497 | 0.097060 | 0.004914 | 0.030581 | 0.306925 | 0.006825 |
2015.11–2016.01 | 0.191533 | 0.189183 | 0.330781 | 0.151453 | 0.137050 | 0.002987 | − 0.005483 | − 0.098757 | 0.010544 |
2015.12–2016.02 | 0.194609 | 0.355099 | 0.082842 | 0.298886 | 0.068564 | 0.004341 | 0.005303 | 0.056277 | 0.007399 |
2016.01–2016.03 | 0.260998 | 0.075808 | 0.533044 | 0.059611 | 0.070539 | 0.002181 | 0.008187 | 0.178133 | 0.003562 |
2016.02–2016.04 | 0.438323 | 0.064790 | 0.067393 | 0.369232 | 0.060262 | 0.002125 | 0.035512 | 0.825654 | 0.001101 |
2016.03–2016.05 | 0.390102 | 0.240234 | 0.210918 | 0.075207 | 0.083540 | 0.001978 | 0.012604 | 0.308068 | 0.002558 |
2016.04–2016.06 | 0.479150 | 0.070969 | 0.089529 | 0.298833 | 0.061519 | 0.002832 | 0.007287 | 0.121279 | 0.005792 |
2016.05–2016.07 | 0.738519 | 0.068578 | 0.061201 | 0.072736 | 0.058966 | 0.002899 | 0.016837 | 0.283215 | 0.003518 |
2016.06–2016.08 | 0.320867 | 0.055845 | 0.230660 | 0.336898 | 0.055729 | 0.005984 | 0.001661 | 0.010396 | 0.014408 |
2016.07–2016.09 | 0.050000 | 0.050000 | 0.050000 | 0.050000 | 0.800000 | 0.006583 | 0.027021 | 0.202071 | 0.015180 |
2016.08–2016.10 | 0.139885 | 0.050013 | 0.050025 | 0.710035 | 0.050042 | 0.006969 | − 0.048987 | − 0.354452 | 0.016309 |
2016.09–2016.11 | 0.050087 | 0.091749 | 0.050325 | 0.757647 | 0.050192 | 0.003759 | − 0.003168 | − 0.047676 | 0.007419 |
2016.10–2016.12 | 0.438323 | 0.064790 | 0.067393 | 0.369232 | 0.060262 | 0.002109 | 0.035072 | 0.821653 | 0.001096 |
2016.11–2017.01 | 0.390102 | 0.240234 | 0.210918 | 0.075207 | 0.083540 | 0.001967 | 0.012639 | 0.310623 | 0.002550 |
2016.12–2017.02 | 0.479150 | 0.070969 | 0.089529 | 0.298833 | 0.061519 | 0.002872 | 0.007412 | 0.121802 | 0.005819 |
2017.01–2017.03 | 0.738519 | 0.068578 | 0.061201 | 0.072736 | 0.058966 | 0.002898 | 0.016696 | 0.280854 | 0.003536 |
2017.02–2017.04 | 0.052075 | 0.081504 | 0.053957 | 0.750060 | 0.062405 | 0.005907 | 0.008514 | 0.068544 | 0.012043 |
2017.03–2017.05 | 0.050000 | 0.050000 | 0.050000 | 0.050000 | 0.800000 | 0.006613 | 0.027088 | 0.201664 | 0.014977 |
2017.04–2017.06 | 0.268480 | 0.506691 | 0.100368 | 0.066477 | 0.057984 | 0.003795 | 0.003241 | 0.037208 | 0.007963 |
2017.05–2017.07 | 0.050087 | 0.091749 | 0.050325 | 0.757647 | 0.050192 | 0.003773 | − 0.003187 | − 0.047763 | 0.007451 |
2017.06–2017.08 | 0.158318 | 0.147202 | 0.286875 | 0.077530 | 0.330075 | 0.003091 | 0.008758 | 0.134928 | 0.004683 |
2017.07–2017.09 | 0.068086 | 0.099889 | 0.581654 | 0.196896 | 0.053475 | 0.002464 | 0.011891 | 0.232854 | 0.003275 |
2017.08–2017.10 | 0.054063 | 0.324698 | 0.054747 | 0.226128 | 0.340363 | 0.004020 | 0.052083 | 0.642620 | 0.004368 |
2017.09–2017.11 | 0.694957 | 0.056122 | 0.065574 | 0.125798 | 0.057549 | 0.002685 | 0.013336 | 0.240615 | 0.004948 |
2017.10–2017.12 | 0.294399 | 0.078843 | 0.166064 | 0.401023 | 0.059670 | 0.003378 | 0.017698 | 0.255765 | 0.006574 |
2017.11–2018.01 | 0.050000 | 0.050000 | 0.050000 | 0.050000 | 0.800000 | 0.006603 | 0.026934 | 0.200794 | 0.015075 |
2017.12–2018.02 | 0.689011 | 0.050565 | 0.051537 | 0.156637 | 0.052250 | 0.008303 | − 0.012137 | − 0.075602 | 0.017540 |
2018.01–2018.03 | 0.050087 | 0.091749 | 0.050325 | 0.757647 | 0.050192 | 0.003766 | − 0.003195 | − 0.047956 | 0.007457 |
2018.02–2018.04 | 0.158318 | 0.147202 | 0.286875 | 0.077530 | 0.330075 | 0.003057 | 0.008730 | 0.135977 | 0.004670 |
2018.03–2018.05 | 0.068086 | 0.099889 | 0.581654 | 0.196896 | 0.053475 | 0.002495 | 0.011707 | 0.226234 | 0.003285 |
2018.04–2018.06 | 0.054063 | 0.324698 | 0.054747 | 0.226128 | 0.340363 | 0.004048 | 0.052520 | 0.643533 | 0.004369 |
2018.05–2018.07 | 0.694957 | 0.056122 | 0.065574 | 0.125798 | 0.057549 | 0.002736 | 0.013147 | 0.232666 | 0.004938 |
2018.06–2018.08 | 0.325014 | 0.342751 | 0.141088 | 0.076066 | 0.115081 | 0.003133 | − 0.015913 | − 0.260602 | 0.005912 |
2018.07–2018.09 | 0.227873 | 0.050683 | 0.242898 | 0.428362 | 0.050185 | 0.005906 | 0.032595 | 0.272428 | 0.010791 |
2018.08–2018.10 | 0.050000 | 0.050000 | 0.050000 | 0.800000 | 0.050000 | 0.015891 | − 0.004267 | − 0.014737 | 0.045805 |
2018.09–2018.11 | 0.583894 | 0.054994 | 0.249566 | 0.055026 | 0.056520 | 0.006741 | 0.064711 | 0.476899 | 0.007793 |
2018.10–2018.12 | 0.158318 | 0.147202 | 0.286875 | 0.077530 | 0.330075 | 0.003061 | 0.008743 | 0.136008 | 0.004663 |
2018.11–2019.01 | 0.068086 | 0.099889 | 0.581654 | 0.196896 | 0.053475 | 0.002444 | 0.011862 | 0.234118 | 0.003270 |
2018.12–2019.02 | 0.054063 | 0.324698 | 0.054747 | 0.226128 | 0.340363 | 0.004022 | 0.052921 | 0.652735 | 0.004379 |
2019.01–2019.03 | 0.694957 | 0.056122 | 0.065574 | 0.125798 | 0.057549 | 0.002692 | 0.013332 | 0.239855 | 0.004960 |
2019.02–2019.04 | 0.178815 | 0.345249 | 0.250347 | 0.082559 | 0.143030 | 0.003362 | 0.005718 | 0.078847 | 0.006653 |
2019.03–2019.05 | 0.227873 | 0.050683 | 0.242898 | 0.428362 | 0.050185 | 0.005817 | 0.032549 | 0.276187 | 0.010741 |
2019.04–2019.06 | 0.050000 | 0.050000 | 0.050000 | 0.800000 | 0.050000 | 0.016006 | − 0.004323 | − 0.014807 | 0.045177 |
2019.05–2019.07 | 0.583894 | 0.054994 | 0.249566 | 0.055026 | 0.056520 | 0.006845 | 0.065511 | 0.475499 | 0.007774 |
2019.06–2019.08 | 0.059228 | 0.520589 | 0.060882 | 0.063095 | 0.296206 | 0.007853 | − 0.017620 | − 0.114845 | 0.015435 |
2019.07–2019.09 | 0.185526 | 0.312187 | 0.109350 | 0.328851 | 0.064085 | 0.003799 | − 0.005244 | − 0.074500 | 0.007017 |
2019.08–2019.10 | 0.069817 | 0.050163 | 0.050104 | 0.050025 | 0.779891 | 0.005226 | 0.016017 | 0.149260 | 0.007857 |
2019.09–2019.11 | 0.354102 | 0.143553 | 0.259630 | 0.157578 | 0.085137 | 0.002090 | 0.019192 | 0.449085 | 0.002287 |
2019.10–2019.12 | 0.450722 | 0.062094 | 0.089300 | 0.325553 | 0.072330 | 0.002482 | 0.026369 | 0.522830 | 0.004027 |
2019.11–2020.01 | 0.227873 | 0.050683 | 0.242898 | 0.428362 | 0.050185 | 0.005841 | 0.032588 | 0.275389 | 0.010848 |
2019.12–2020.02 | 0.050000 | 0.050000 | 0.050000 | 0.800000 | 0.050000 | 0.015897 | − 0.004250 | − 0.014678 | 0.045159 |
2020.01–2020.03 | 0.583894 | 0.054994 | 0.249566 | 0.055026 | 0.056520 | 0.006741 | 0.065250 | 0.480855 | 0.007802 |
2020.02–2020.04 | 0.256336 | 0.353002 | 0.113060 | 0.160268 | 0.117334 | 0.007432 | 0.009408 | 0.060487 | 0.012488 |
2020.03–2020.05 | 0.400734 | 0.051429 | 0.066797 | 0.429053 | 0.051987 | 0.008963 | 0.001657 | 0.006922 | 0.029802 |
2020.04–2020.06 | 0.069817 | 0.050163 | 0.050104 | 0.050025 | 0.779891 | 0.005254 | 0.016093 | 0.149191 | 0.007863 |
2020.05–2020.07 | 0.050059 | 0.409585 | 0.243612 | 0.246698 | 0.050045 | 0.007639 | − 0.027503 | − 0.182747 | 0.020880 |
2020.06–2020.08 | 0.050112 | 0.050673 | 0.796835 | 0.052323 | 0.050057 | 0.002337 | 0.027782 | 0.585563 | 0.002887 |
2020.07–2020.09 | 0.129021 | 0.324443 | 0.074690 | 0.414853 | 0.056993 | 0.009845 | − 0.014013 | − 0.073286 | 0.028485 |
2020.08–2020.10 | 0.074008 | 0.425982 | 0.067759 | 0.050285 | 0.381966 | 0.004700 | 0.017964 | 0.186668 | 0.004879 |
2020.09–2020.11 | 0.327937 | 0.110332 | 0.315693 | 0.055792 | 0.190245 | 0.003739 | 0.009645 | 0.123414 | 0.006487 |
Period | Semiparametric method | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VOO | TLT | LQD | IAU | VNQ | Volatility | Return | SR | CVaR | |
2015.10–2015.12 | 0.170249 | 0.205401 | 0.328092 | 0.209116 | 0.087142 | 0.004465 | 0.027931 | 0.312809 | 0.005895 |
2015.11–2016.01 | 0.204442 | 0.162298 | 0.390541 | 0.132372 | 0.110349 | 0.002855 | − 0.005091 | − 0.089143 | 0.009887 |
2015.12–2016.02 | 0.144200 | 0.327415 | 0.061079 | 0.404266 | 0.063040 | 0.004290 | 0.005382 | 0.062733 | 0.007334 |
2016.01–2016.03 | 0.340428 | 0.061787 | 0.468457 | 0.055119 | 0.074209 | 0.002139 | 0.008219 | 0.192133 | 0.003532 |
2016.02–2016.04 | 0.520584 | 0.069588 | 0.074804 | 0.275540 | 0.059483 | 0.001751 | 0.035719 | 1.019976 | 0.000645 |
2016.03–2016.05 | 0.416414 | 0.256692 | 0.198058 | 0.062650 | 0.066186 | 0.001951 | 0.013327 | 0.341491 | 0.002276 |
2016.04–2016.06 | 0.465600 | 0.061517 | 0.069158 | 0.346403 | 0.057321 | 0.002826 | 0.008681 | 0.153608 | 0.005411 |
2016.05–2016.07 | 0.640602 | 0.101805 | 0.079343 | 0.113891 | 0.064359 | 0.002671 | 0.015308 | 0.286610 | 0.003107 |
2016.06–2016.08 | 0.309437 | 0.057180 | 0.287812 | 0.288412 | 0.057158 | 0.005763 | 0.000873 | 0.007576 | 0.014361 |
2016.07–2016.09 | 0.095315 | 0.050577 | 0.050341 | 0.050158 | 0.753609 | 0.006504 | 0.027058 | 0.208007 | 0.014738 |
2016.08–2016.10 | 0.569637 | 0.060120 | 0.079174 | 0.223522 | 0.067546 | 0.003957 | − 0.002269 | − 0.028669 | 0.006309 |
2016.09–2016.11 | 0.050167 | 0.226937 | 0.050736 | 0.621761 | 0.050400 | 0.003122 | − 0.000411 | − 0.006588 | 0.005056 |
2016.10–2016.12 | 0.520584 | 0.069588 | 0.074804 | 0.275540 | 0.059483 | 0.001746 | 0.035515 | 1.017142 | 0.000643 |
2016.11–2017.01 | 0.416414 | 0.256692 | 0.198058 | 0.062650 | 0.066186 | 0.001948 | 0.013273 | 0.340702 | 0.002269 |
2016.12–2017.02 | 0.465600 | 0.061517 | 0.069158 | 0.346403 | 0.057321 | 0.002790 | 0.008688 | 0.155731 | 0.005439 |
2017.01–2017.03 | 0.640602 | 0.101805 | 0.079343 | 0.113891 | 0.064359 | 0.002668 | 0.015480 | 0.290127 | 0.003122 |
2017.02–2017.04 | 0.054454 | 0.212083 | 0.059020 | 0.567892 | 0.106551 | 0.005153 | 0.009406 | 0.091264 | 0.009831 |
2017.03–2017.05 | 0.095315 | 0.050577 | 0.050341 | 0.050158 | 0.753609 | 0.006399 | 0.026786 | 0.209292 | 0.014545 |
2017.04–2017.06 | 0.354142 | 0.368440 | 0.150845 | 0.067697 | 0.058877 | 0.003374 | 0.006581 | 0.097524 | 0.007739 |
2017.05–2017.07 | 0.050167 | 0.226937 | 0.050736 | 0.621761 | 0.050400 | 0.003119 | − 0.000415 | − 0.006651 | 0.005076 |
2017.06–2017.08 | 0.123930 | 0.085716 | 0.443321 | 0.060062 | 0.286971 | 0.002794 | 0.007694 | 0.137678 | 0.004084 |
2017.07–2017.09 | 0.069641 | 0.083259 | 0.643010 | 0.150291 | 0.053800 | 0.002437 | 0.011298 | 0.231797 | 0.003266 |
2017.08–2017.10 | 0.102852 | 0.282229 | 0.101506 | 0.180141 | 0.333273 | 0.003822 | 0.047058 | 0.615671 | 0.002837 |
2017.09–2017.11 | 0.727687 | 0.050349 | 0.051084 | 0.120469 | 0.050410 | 0.002671 | 0.014209 | 0.265971 | 0.004631 |
2017.10–2017.12 | 0.319734 | 0.067851 | 0.235020 | 0.321115 | 0.056280 | 0.003085 | 0.017981 | 0.291406 | 0.006253 |
2017.11–2018.01 | 0.095315 | 0.050577 | 0.050341 | 0.050158 | 0.753609 | 0.006501 | 0.026705 | 0.205402 | 0.014638 |
2017.12–2018.02 | 0.381969 | 0.053885 | 0.062446 | 0.432545 | 0.069155 | 0.005350 | 0.002117 | 0.019789 | 0.010982 |
2018.01–2018.03 | 0.050167 | 0.226937 | 0.050736 | 0.621761 | 0.050400 | 0.003134 | − 0.000414 | − 0.006597 | 0.005081 |
2018.02–2018.04 | 0.123930 | 0.085716 | 0.443321 | 0.060062 | 0.286971 | 0.002771 | 0.007715 | 0.139189 | 0.004073 |
2018.03–2018.05 | 0.069641 | 0.083259 | 0.643010 | 0.150291 | 0.053800 | 0.002444 | 0.011332 | 0.231808 | 0.003276 |
2018.04–2018.06 | 0.102852 | 0.282229 | 0.101506 | 0.180141 | 0.333273 | 0.003831 | 0.046945 | 0.612694 | 0.002837 |
2018.05–2018.07 | 0.727687 | 0.050349 | 0.051084 | 0.120469 | 0.050410 | 0.002695 | 0.014238 | 0.264126 | 0.004621 |
2018.06–2018.08 | 0.377315 | 0.378339 | 0.095375 | 0.061079 | 0.087891 | 0.003044 | − 0.015549 | − 0.255371 | 0.005703 |
2018.07–2018.09 | 0.169688 | 0.058765 | 0.315583 | 0.405745 | 0.050219 | 0.005605 | 0.030132 | 0.268782 | 0.010706 |
2018.08–2018.10 | 0.497298 | 0.094449 | 0.057233 | 0.299211 | 0.051809 | 0.008162 | 0.025253 | 0.154706 | 0.022619 |
2018.09–2018.11 | 0.532304 | 0.055444 | 0.299041 | 0.055714 | 0.057497 | 0.006445 | 0.061374 | 0.476160 | 0.007083 |
2018.10–2018.12 | 0.123930 | 0.085716 | 0.443321 | 0.060062 | 0.286971 | 0.002769 | 0.007700 | 0.139067 | 0.004067 |
2018.11–2019.01 | 0.069641 | 0.083259 | 0.643010 | 0.150291 | 0.053800 | 0.002440 | 0.011256 | 0.230646 | 0.003262 |
2018.12–2019.02 | 0.102852 | 0.282229 | 0.101506 | 0.180141 | 0.333273 | 0.003826 | 0.047216 | 0.617051 | 0.002843 |
2019.01–2019.03 | 0.727687 | 0.050349 | 0.051084 | 0.120469 | 0.050410 | 0.002605 | 0.014307 | 0.274608 | 0.004641 |
2019.02–2019.04 | 0.191454 | 0.244370 | 0.411765 | 0.062929 | 0.089481 | 0.002911 | 0.008499 | 0.146005 | 0.005079 |
2019.03–2019.05 | 0.169688 | 0.058765 | 0.315583 | 0.405745 | 0.050219 | 0.005647 | 0.030029 | 0.265866 | 0.010727 |
2019.04–2019.06 | 0.497298 | 0.094449 | 0.057233 | 0.299211 | 0.051809 | 0.008078 | 0.024824 | 0.153660 | 0.022310 |
2019.05–2019.07 | 0.532304 | 0.055444 | 0.299041 | 0.055714 | 0.057497 | 0.006451 | 0.060973 | 0.472618 | 0.007063 |
2019.06–2019.08 | 0.069054 | 0.453305 | 0.077644 | 0.076032 | 0.323964 | 0.007402 | − 0.016259 | − 0.109829 | 0.014525 |
2019.07–2019.09 | 0.201803 | 0.343005 | 0.176895 | 0.206749 | 0.071548 | 0.003705 | − 0.007932 | − 0.107061 | 0.006596 |
2019.08–2019.10 | 0.271932 | 0.056464 | 0.052748 | 0.050796 | 0.568061 | 0.004720 | 0.018631 | 0.197376 | 0.007786 |
2019.09–2019.11 | 0.599527 | 0.061662 | 0.057349 | 0.226609 | 0.054852 | 0.002024 | 0.028534 | 0.705009 | 0.001417 |
2019.10–2019.12 | 0.433636 | 0.055530 | 0.063960 | 0.387126 | 0.059748 | 0.002460 | 0.027248 | 0.553920 | 0.003397 |
2019.11–2020.01 | 0.169688 | 0.058765 | 0.315583 | 0.405745 | 0.050219 | 0.005694 | 0.030171 | 0.264953 | 0.010796 |
2019.12–2020.02 | 0.497298 | 0.094449 | 0.057233 | 0.299211 | 0.051809 | 0.008046 | 0.024914 | 0.154823 | 0.022307 |
2020.01–2020.03 | 0.532304 | 0.055444 | 0.299041 | 0.055714 | 0.057497 | 0.006379 | 0.062149 | 0.487173 | 0.007091 |
2020.02–2020.04 | 0.334122 | 0.265563 | 0.117092 | 0.192897 | 0.090327 | 0.006448 | 0.014887 | 0.115437 | 0.011486 |
2020.03–2020.05 | 0.296114 | 0.050327 | 0.144534 | 0.458646 | 0.050379 | 0.007604 | 0.004694 | 0.030868 | 0.024710 |
2020.04–2020.06 | 0.271932 | 0.056464 | 0.052748 | 0.050796 | 0.568061 | 0.004748 | 0.018819 | 0.198164 | 0.007849 |
2020.05–2020.07 | 0.054594 | 0.352759 | 0.335639 | 0.204413 | 0.052594 | 0.006918 | − 0.025675 | − 0.185569 | 0.018545 |
2020.06–2020.08 | 0.051226 | 0.171718 | 0.545539 | 0.180761 | 0.050756 | 0.002180 | 0.039226 | 0.899665 | 0.001814 |
2020.07–2020.09 | 0.185030 | 0.386198 | 0.100052 | 0.267220 | 0.061501 | 0.007775 | − 0.013058 | − 0.083976 | 0.021912 |
2020.08–2020.10 | 0.096852 | 0.391626 | 0.101912 | 0.050289 | 0.359321 | 0.003838 | 0.017604 | 0.229317 | 0.004617 |
2020.09–2020.11 | 0.153510 | 0.108050 | 0.461168 | 0.059915 | 0.217357 | 0.003363 | 0.004570 | 0.067949 | 0.005794 |