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Table 4 p values of the Granger causality test on (a) \(\ln \left( {X_{i,t} + 1} \right)\), (b) \(R_{i,t}\) of the 8 economies and (c) p values of the Granger causality test between \(\ln \left( {X_{i,t} + 1} \right)\) and \(R_{i,t}\) of each of the 8 economies

From: How does Covid-19 affect global equity markets?

 

Recipient

       

(a)

        

Source

China

0.698021

0.667601

0.866272

0.826572

0.572981

0.563564

0.511255

 

0.263977

Hong Kong

0.560073

0.768454

0.189710

0.440045

0.530950

0.701268

 

0.012415

0.058785

South Korea

0.000268

3.13 × 10–5

0.066047

0.057474

0.029470

 

0.006643

0.007571

0.028479

Japan

0.001741

0.057504

0.015034

0.071302

 

0.012658

0.007092

0.410447

0.00349

Italy

0.000460

8.85 × 10–5

4.30 × 10–6

 

0.020633

0.001904

0.729311

0.030531

0.316916

Spain

0.002139

5.50 × 10–7

 

0.020569

0.002761

0.759329

0.054139

0.382101

0.370744

France

1.31 × 10–8

 

0.057389

0.008927

0.606892

0.086722

0.197307

0.115558

0.000476

Germany

(b)

        

Source

China

0.544424

0.039571

0.838035

0.492295

0.958960

0.857592

0.879781

 

0.791993

Hong Kong

0.001358

0.823920

0.913958

0.605238

0.909366

0.931905

 

0.280445

0.000121

South Korea

0.169997

0.678331

0.058796

0.050618

0.028812

 

0.182089

0.001932

0.231562

Japan

0.905928

0.008052

0.027710

0.017987

 

0.492295

0.287735

0.471281

0.033015

Italy

0.000802

0.014574

0.011477

 

0.802468

0.932675

0.853021

0.000586

0.516475

Spain

0.104732

0.136393

 

0.591066

0.271251

0.715945

0.000698

0.337280

0.158152

France

0.846873

 

0.556160

0.229315

0.731679

0.000549

0.415052

0.235021

0.722761

Germany

(c)

        
 

China

Hong Kong

South Korea

Japan

Italy

Spain

France

Germany

\(\ln \left( {X_{i,t} + 1} \right)\) -> \(R_{i,t}\)

0.121281

0.437926

0.253122

0.057691

0.209052

0.00234

0.000676

0.002094

\(R_{i,t}\) -> \(\ln \left( {X_{i,t} + 1} \right)\)

0.794184

0.294549

0.651025

0.446594

0.648026

0.758888

0.487102

0.420531