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Table 4 Prediction errors of the three models based on the statistical test

From: Combined soft measurement on key indicator parameters of new competitive advantages for China's export

Error type

Prediction method in the research (Yan et al. 2008)

Prediction method in the research (Nieto et al. 2015)

Soft measurement model in this paper

Average relative error

2.8974%

2.3217%

2.2642%

Relative root mean square error

3.3846%

2.9942%

2.8462%

Posterior error ratio C

0.0084

0.0069

0.0059

Small error probability P

0.9876

0.9913

1.0000

  1. The smaller C is, the better the prediction effect is; the higher P is, the better the prediction effect is