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Table 8 Tests for GARCH effect: 01/01/2019–06/30/2020

From: COVID-19 and instability of stock market performance: evidence from the U.S.

 

\({\alpha }_{0}\)

\({\alpha }_{1}\)

\({\alpha }_{2}\)

\({\beta }_{1}\)

\({\beta }_{2}\)

L

BIC

Panel A: S&P 5000

GARCH (1,1)

0.0000 (0.0000***)

0.2642 (0.0038***)

–

0.7356 (0.0018***)

–

1503.0000

− 5.9455

GARCH (2,1)

0.0000 (0.0000***)

0.1810 (0.0104**)

0.1606 (0.0093***)

0.6582 (0.0011***)

–

1504.5000

− 5.8902

GARCH (2,2)

0.0000 (0.0000***)

0.1803 (0.0085***)

0.3224 (0.0040***)

0.0833 (0.0011***)

0.4138 (0.0011***)

1505.2000

− 5.8865

Panel B: DJIA

GARCH (1,1)

0.0000 (0.0000***)

0.2477 (0.0041***)

–

0.7521 (0.0021***)

–

1486.7000

− 5.9201

GARCH (2,1)

0.0000 (0.0000***)

0.1409 (0.0051***)

0.1709 (0.0049***)

0.6835 (0.0088 ***)

–

1488.5000

− 5.8764

GARCH (2,2)

0.0000 (0.0000***)

0.1383 (0.0016***)

0.3316 (0.0195**)

0.0949 (0.0073***)

0.4350 (0.0030***)

1489.4000

− 5.8658

  1. Table 8 displays results of tests for the GARCH effect for both S&P 500 and DJIA over the period January 1st, 2019 to June 30th, 2020. L and BIC are presented in log values
  2. P values are provided in the parentheses
  3. ** and *** indicate significance at the 5% and 1% levels, respectively