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Table 2 Granger causality between global risk aversion (GRA) and spillover measures

From: Impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on the US equity sectors: Evidence from quantile return spillovers

 

GRA \(\to\) SOI

SOI \(\to\) GRA

Overall conclusion

Linear

Taylor

ANN

Linear

Taylor

ANN

Overall

87.77***

2.364

1.231

11.711***

45.626***

133.91***

GRA \(\leftrightarrow\) SOI

 

[0.000]

[0.124]

[0.351]

[0.000]

[0.000]

[0.000]

 

From sector TO all others

EN

2.076

0.823

3.139

4.355**

79.747***

34.592***

GRA \(\leftarrow\) SOI

 

[0.125]

[0.438]

[0.581]

[0.012]

[0.000]

[0.000]

 

FIN

21.390***

3.995**

26.091***

15.435***

434.47***

155.09***

GRA \(\leftrightarrow\) SOI

 

[0.000]

[0.018]

[0.000]

[0.000]

[0.000]

[0.000]

 

IND

17.650***

5.801***

30.112***

0.429

1.265

1.680

GRA \(\to\) SOI

 

[0.000]

[0.003]

[0.000]

[0.651]

[0.201]

[0.169]

 

UTL

125.17***

3.101**

3.827***

0.176

10.025***

7.273***

GRA \(\leftrightarrow\) SOI

 

[0.000]

[0.045]

[0.009]

[0.838]

[0.000]

[0.000]

 

CS

133.64***

5.376***

74.733***

12.293***

19.744***

31.343***

GRA \(\leftrightarrow\) SOI

 

[0.000]

[0.004]

[0.000]

[0.000]

[0.000]

[0.000]

 

HC

7.528***

12.153***

98.338***

7.995***

81.907***

62.312***

GRA \(\leftrightarrow\) SOI

 

[0.000]

[0.000]

[0.000]

[0.000]

[0.000]

[0.000]

 

IT

10.216***

1.490

91.605***

1.751

8.827***

47.025***

GRA \(\leftrightarrow\) SOI

 

[0.000]

[0.225]

[0.000]

[0.173]

[0.000]

[0.000]

 

MAT

0.304

0.145

0.304

3.310**

75.410***

26.225***

GRA \(\leftarrow\) SOI

 

[0.737]

[0.864]

[0.732]

[0.036]

[0.000]

[0.000]

 

CD

10.296***

1.507

29.234***

13.886***

347.07***

115.74***

GRA \(\leftrightarrow\) SOI

 

[0.000]

[0.221]

[0.000]

[0.000]

[0.000]

[0.000]

 

RE

7.096***

1.410

12.557***

4.538**

70.977***

33.143***

GRA \(\leftrightarrow\) SOI

 

[0.000]

[0.244]

[0.000]

[0.011]

[0.000]

[0.000]

 
  1. The above table displays the results of the linear, Tor-based and ANN-based nonlinear causality tests