From: S&P BSE Sensex and S&P BSE IT return forecasting using ARIMA
Form of VR Test | Index | Joint or Multiple VR test | VR Individual tests (holding periods in months) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | |||
S1 | S&P BSE Sensex | 23.4127a | −23.4127a {0.55133} | −20.04238a {0.28145} | −15.40392a {0.1268} | −11.06920a {0.06629} |
[0.000] (553.1) | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | ||
S&P BSE IT | 23.6171a | −23.61714a {0.54741} | −20.58047a {0.26215} | −15.46046a {0.1236} | −11.10457a {0.0633} | |
[0.000] (565.69) | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | ||
S2 | S&P BSE Sensex | 10.972a | −10.97203a {0.55173} | −10.08047a {0.28207} | −8.312745a {0.12746} | −6.25343a {0.06702} |
[0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | ||
S&P BSE IT | 12.08156a | −12.08156a {0.54781} | −11.38681a {0.26273} | −9.299124a {0.12424} | −7.149689a {0.06401} | |
[0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | ||
S3 | S&P BSE Sensex | 21.9464a | −21.94642a {0.57943} | −18.67128a {0.3306} | −14.07391a {0.2022} | −10.20897a {0.13885} |
[0.000] (484.9) | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | ||
S&P BSE IT | 22.2004a | −22.20039a {0.57456} | −18.99003a {0.31917} | −14.14508a {0.19816} | −10.09348a {0.14859} | |
[0.000] (497.16) | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | ||
S4 | S&P BSE Sensex | 23.1982a | −23.19816a {0.55544} | −19.68314a {0.29433} | −14.98143a {0.15075} | −10.75246a {0.09301} |
[0.000] (541.65) | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | ||
S&P BSE IT | 23.3137a | −23.31373a {0.55323} | −20.055a {0.28099} | −15.03291a {0.14784} | −10.77041a {0.09149} | |
[0.000] (548.97) | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | ||
S5 | S&P BSE Sensex | 14.7368a | −14.73678a {0.71759} | −12.86565a {0.53874} | −9.442364a {0.46475} | −7.114982a {0.39984} |
[0.000] (221.8) | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | ||
S&P BSE IT | 14.6601a | −14.66012a {0.71906} | −12.55835a {0.54976} | −9.28688a {0.47356} | −6.509822a {0.45088} | |
[0.000] (217.08) | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | ||
S6 | S&P BSE Sensex | 23.4127a | −23.41272a {0.55133} | −20.04238a {0.28145} | −15.40392a {0.12681} | −11.06920a {0.06629} |
[0.000] (553.1) | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | ||
S&P BSE IT | 23.6171a | −23.61714a {0.54741} | −20.58047a {0.26215} | −15.46046a {0.1236} | −11.10457a {0.0633} | |
[0.000] (565.69) | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | ||
S7 | S&P BSE Sensex | 10.972a | −10.97203a {0.55173} | −10.08047a {0.28207} | −8.312745a {0.12746} | −6.253435a {0.06702} |
[0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | ||
S&P BSE IT | 12.0816a | −12.08156a {0.54781} | −11.38681a {0.26273} | −9.299124a {0.12424} | −7.149689a {0.06401} | |
[0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] |