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Table 12 The Diebold-Mariano statistics for 10-day forecast of WTI/BRENT/ORB, for the alternative hypothesis that Method-10 is better in terms of accuracy versus the method of choice

From: A hybrid Bayesian-network proposition for forecasting the crude oil price

 

WTI

BRENT

ORB

Method-1

1.93 (0.04)

1.39 (0.09)

1.45 (0.08)

Method-2

1.99 (0.03)

1.39 (0.09)

2.80 (0.01)

Method-3

2.17 (0.02)

1.38 (0.09)

5.89 (0.00)

Method-4

3.32 (0.00)

1.44 (0.09)

3.47 (0.00)

Method-5

1.85 (0.04)

1.41 (0.08)

1.55 (0.07)

Method-6

1.05 (0.01)

0.06 (0.10)

0.33 (0.03)

Method-7

2.20 (0.02)

0.87 (0.20)

1.90 (0.04)

Method-8

4.56 (0.00)

2.35 (0.02)

3.06 (0.00)

Method-9

2.70 (0.01)

2.48 (0.01)

3.14 (0.00)