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Table 1 Correlation between Cyclical Components of GREA and Lags of the Cyclical Components of Various Measures of Global Liquidity

From: On the monetary measures of global liquidity

 

GLCEN

GLDIV

GLGDPW

GLSUM

GLPCA

L0

−0.8471

0.0926

−0.2556

0.0016

0.0649

L1.

−0.8228

0.0574

−0.3262

−0.0184

0.0488

L2.

−0.7872

0.012

−0.3857

−0.0455

0.0232

L3.

−0.7423

−0.0452

− 0.4354

−0.0801

− 0.0123

L4.

−0.6986

− 0.1209

−0.4765

− 0.131

−0.0654

L5.

−0.6582

−0.2058

− 0.5124

−0.193

− 0.1298

L6.

−0.6137

− 0.2912

−0.5412

− 0.2587

−0.1992

L7.

−0.5599

−0.3711

− 0.5638

−0.3224

− 0.2666

L8.

−0.5002

− 0.4435

−0.5787

− 0.38

−0.3297

L9.

−0.4363

−0.5081

− 0.587

−0.4317

− 0.3882

L10.

−0.3697

− 0.5672

−0.589

− 0.4785

−0.4421

L11.

−0.2986

−0.6141

− 0.5758

−0.5127

− 0.4864

L12.

−0.2238

− 0.6502

−0.5587

− 0.5373

−0.5217

L13.

−0.1427

−0.6782

− 0.5348

−0.5528

− 0.5498

L14.

−0.0594

− 0.6964

−0.5057

− 0.5593

−0.5696

L15.

0.0222

−0.7055

−0.4702

− 0.5555

−0.5794

L16.

0.098

−0.7101

−0.4281

− 0.5483

−0.5854

L17.

0.1672

−0.7092

−0.3797

− 0.5352

−0.5865

L18.

0.2299

−0.7007

−0.3245

− 0.5134

−0.5791

L19.

0.2884

−0.6865

−0.2671

− 0.4846

−0.5644

L20.

0.3382

−0.6678

−0.2071

− 0.4555

−0.5485

L21.

0.3782

−0.6486

−0.1488

− 0.4252

−0.5311

L22.

0.412

−0.626

−0.0891

− 0.39

−0.5086

L23.

0.4362

−0.5958

−0.0298

− 0.3489

−0.4792

L24.

0.4529

−0.5604

0.0254

−0.3045

−0.4447

L25.

0.4629

−0.5198

0.0751

−0.2595

−0.4072

L26.

0.4684

−0.4732

0.1193

−0.2118

−0.3646

L27.

0.4691

−0.4181

0.1592

−0.1587

−0.3142

L28.

0.4678

−0.3519

0.1897

−0.0977

−0.2533

L29.

0.4674

−0.2826

0.2189

−0.0317

−0.1871

L30.

0.464

−0.2161

0.2477

0.0321

−0.1216

L31.

0.4571

−0.1512

0.2717

0.0946

−0.057

L32.

0.446

−0.0886

0.2915

0.1528

0.0056

L33.

0.4353

−0.0237

0.309

0.2138

0.071

L34.

0.4234

0.0419

0.3221

0.276

0.1377

L35.

0.4082

0.1012

0.3285

0.3287

0.1969

L36.

0.3901

0.1551

0.3369

0.379

0.253

L37.

0.3689

0.2003

0.3454

0.4252

0.3035

L38.

0.3394

0.2292

0.3533

0.4546

0.3383

L39.

0.3076

0.2471

0.3616

0.4668

0.357

L40.

0.2753

0.256

0.3678

0.4678

0.3649

L41.

0.2409

0.2542

0.3731

0.4504

0.3569

L42.

0.2081

0.2439

0.3771

0.4231

0.3388

L43.

0.1755

0.2292

0.3796

0.3884

0.3134

L44.

0.1403

0.2049

0.3787

0.3473

0.2808

L45.

0.1051

0.1752

0.3759

0.301

0.2433

L46.

0.0721

0.1454

0.3708

0.2536

0.2046

L47.

0.0433

0.1128

0.362

0.2059

0.1643

L48.

0.0162

0.0729

0.3526

0.1531

0.1178

  1. Note: GREA is global real economic activity. GLCEN is a currency-equivalent, GLDIV is a Divisia, GLGDPW is a GDP-weighted, GLSUM is a simple-sum and GLPCA is a PCA-based measure of global liquidity. L0 through L48 are lags of global liquidity measures