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Table 5 Adoption rate sensitivity analysis

From: Value chain financing and plantain production in Nigeria: an ex-ante approach

Scenario Adoption rate (%) Total economic surplus (USD ‘000) Total cost (USD ‘000) Benefit–cost (USD ‘000) Benefit cost ratio IRR NPV (USD ‘000) Change in NPV (USD ‘000) % change
Optimistic 70 6196.0 1150.2 5045.7 5.38 43.7% 5195.62
Base 50 4407.10 1150.20 3256.80 3.83 36.80% 3406.68 1788.94 −34.38
  15 1312.30 1150.20 162.00 1.14 18.10% 311.88 − 2205.92 −87.61
  10 873.90 1150.20 − 276.30 0.75 13.50% −126.54 − 438.42
Pessimistic 5% 436.50 1150.20 − 713.70 0.37 6.90% −563.91 − 690.45
  1. Source: Simulation estimates from DREAM analysis