Table 5 Adoption rate sensitivity analysis
From: Value chain financing and plantain production in Nigeria: an ex-ante approach
Scenario | Adoption rate (%) | Total economic surplus (USD ‘000) | Total cost (USD ‘000) | Benefit–cost (USD ‘000) | Benefit cost ratio | IRR | NPV (USD ‘000) | Change in NPV (USD ‘000) | % change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Optimistic | 70 | 6196.0 | 1150.2 | 5045.7 | 5.38 | 43.7% | 5195.62 | – | – |
Base | 50 | 4407.10 | 1150.20 | 3256.80 | 3.83 | 36.80% | 3406.68 | 1788.94 | −34.38 |
|  | 15 | 1312.30 | 1150.20 | 162.00 | 1.14 | 18.10% | 311.88 | − 2205.92 | −87.61 |
|  | 10 | 873.90 | 1150.20 | − 276.30 | 0.75 | 13.50% | −126.54 | − 438.42 | – |
Pessimistic | 5% | 436.50 | 1150.20 | − 713.70 | 0.37 | 6.90% | −563.91 | − 690.45 | – |