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Table 4 Discount rate sensitivity analysis

From: Value chain financing and plantain production in Nigeria: an ex-ante approach

Scenario

Discount rate (%)

Total economic surplus (USD ‘000)

Total cost (USD ‘000)

Benefit–cost (USD ‘000)

Benefit- cost ratio

IRR

NPV (USD ‘000)

Change in NPV (USD ‘000)

% change

Optimistic

8

10,021.00

1213.30

8807.70

8.25

36.80

8897.23

 

10

7785.70

1194.20

6591.50

6.51

36.80

6699.83

− 2197.40

−24.67

Base

15

4407.10

1150.20

3256.80

3.83

36.80

3406.68

− 483.08

−12.43

Pessimistic

20

2687.9

1111.1

1576.8

2.41

36.80

1761.92

− 1644.76

−48.28

  1. Source: Simulation estimates from DREAM analysis,