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Table 3 Simulated VCF Cost and Benefit on Plantain Production

From: Value chain financing and plantain production in Nigeria: an ex-ante approach

Year

Producer (USD ‘000)

Consumer (USD ‘000)

Total (USD ‘000)

Costs (USD ‘000)

Benefit–Cost ratio (B/C) (USD ‘000)

2016

0.0

0.0

0.0

500.0

−500.0

2017

0.0

0.0

0.0

400.0

−400.0

2018

0.0

0.0

0.0

400.0

−400.0

2019

15.2

29.4

44.6

0.0

44.6

2020

89.0

171.3

260.4

0.0

260.4

2021

274.7

528.3

803.0

0.0

803.0

2022

396.4

762.3

1158.8

0.0

1158.8

2023

433.9

834.5

1268.4

0.0

1268.4

2024

447.9

861.3

1309.2

0.0

1309.2

2025

462.3

889.0

1351.4

0.0

1351.4

2026

477.2

917.7

1394.9

0.0

1394.9

2027

492.5

947.2

1439.8

0.0

1439.8

2028

508.4

977.7

1486.2

0.0

1486.2

2029

524.8

1009.2

1534.0

0.0

1534.0

2030

541.7

1041.7

1583.4

0.0

1583.4

2031

559.1

1075.2

1634.4

0.0

1634.4

2032

577.1

1109.9

1687.0

0.0

1687.0

2033

595.7

1145.6

1741.3

0.0

1741.3

2034

614.9

1182.5

1797.4

0.0

1797.4

2035

634.7

1220.6

1220.6

0.0

1855.3

2036

655.1

1259.9

1915.0

0.0

1915.0

2037

676.2

1300.5

1976.7

0.0

1976.7

2038

698.0

1342.3

2040.4

0.0

2040.4

2039

720.5

1385.6

2106.1

0.0

2106.1

2040

743.7

1430.2

2173.9

0.0

2173.9

Discounted total

1507.60

2899.40

4407.10

1150.2

3256.8

  1. Note: The DREAM software was used to compute the total costs and benefits discounted over the entire period of simulation. These totals are not simple additions and averages
  2. Source: Simulation estimates from DREAM analysis