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Table 2 Summary of parameters for economic surplus analysis

From: Value chain financing and plantain production in Nigeria: an ex-ante approach

Variables

Value

Description

Source

Base year

2016

The start year for simulation

Baseline data

Simulated period (years)

25

Number of projected years

Baseline data

Discount rate (%)

15

Derived from lending rate of ACGS

CBN

Price Po (USD/ton)

292

Average price of plantain per ton

Baseline data

Production Q0 (tons/year)

54,665

Average quantity of plantain in tons

Baseline data

Consumption (tons/year)

54,665

Average quantity of plantain consumed

Baseline data

Demand elasticity (É›)

0.52

Assumed for plantain

Author

Supply elasticity (Æž)

1

Plantain supply elasticity

Alston et al. (1995)

Annual crop growth rate (%)

4

Growth rate (2015–2016)

CBN (2016)

Consumption growth rate C0  (%)

2.8

Population growth rate used as proxy

UN (2015)

Yield at present (Ton)

13,500

Yield at start of simulation

Baseline data

Percentage yield increase (∆Y)

18

Percentage change in yield of plantain

Baseline data

Innovation time lag (years)

3

Time frame for VCF implementation

WOCCU (2009)

Adoption lag (years)

5

Time frame for adoption of VCF

Baseline data

Maximum adoption level (%)

50

Projected maximum adoption level

Ayanwale et al. (2011)

Minimum adoption level (%)

10

Estimated minimum adoption level

Akinola et al. (2009)

Cost of VCF (USD)

1.3 m

Estimated cost of deploying VCF

WOCCU (2009)

  1. Source: Author’s compilation