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Table 8 Comparison of models in out of sample forecasting accuracy

From: Modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility in Bangladesh using GARCH models: a comparison based on normal and Student’s t-error distribution

AR(2)-GARCH(1, 1)

AR(2)-APARCH(1, 1)

AR(2)-EGARCH(1, 1)

AR(2)-IGARCH(1, 1)

 

Normal

Student’s t

Normal

Student’s t

Normal

Student’s t

Normal

Student’s t

RMSE

0.0184

0.0183

0.0183

0.0187

0.0182

0.0185

0.0192

0.0183

MAE

0.0093

0.0093

0.0094

0.0094

0.0093

0.0093

0.0110

0.0094

MAPE

42.8555

43.5405

43.0390

43.1409

43.5094

42.8045

45.7949

43.7528

TI

0.6858

0.6436

0.6656

0.7243

0.6438

0.6951

0.7056

0.6496