| Model – 1 AIC criteria | Model – 2 AIC criteria | Model – 3 AIC criteria |
---|
C | 7.83 (0.02)*
| 5.69 (0.02)*
| 0.024 (0.03)*
|
lnDCB | – | 0.09 (0.003)***
| Â |
lnM2/M1 | 0.65 (0.03)*
| – |  |
lnGEXP | 0.28 (0.001)**
| 0.49 (0.01)**
| 0.086 (0.007)**
|
in GCF | Â | Â | 0.43 (0.001)**
|
lnCPI | −0.081 (0.002)**
| −0.01 (0.0021)*
| −.059 (0.01)**
|
lnTO | 0.086 (0.001)**
| 0.091 (0.04)*
| 0.054 (0.004)**
|
- Note: 1. CPI: Consumer Price Index, M2/M1: Broad-to-Narrow Money, GEXP: Government Expenditure, GCF: Gross Capital Formation, DCB: Domestic Credit to Private Sector, TO: Trade Openness and GDPPC: Gross Domestic Product Per Capita. Variables are positively defined (see Table 1)
- Note 2: Values reported () in brackets are the associated probability of coefficients
- Note 3: (*) & (**) significance at 5% and 1%, respectively
- Note 4: Values reported here are the natural logs of the variables. We use natural log forms in our estimation