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Table 12 Comparison of Predictive Accuracy of the Models

From: Re-estimation and comparisons of alternative accounting based bankruptcy prediction models for Indian companies

 

Panel-A (Estimation Sample)

 

Original model Accuracy

Re-estimated model Accuracy

Model

Overall

Distressed

Non-Distressed

Overall

Distressed

Non-Distressed

Altman

67.692

92.308

43.077

96.923

98.462

95.385

Ohlson

48.462

95.385

1.538

95.385

96.923

93.846

Zmijewski

71.538

98.462

44.615

89.231

87.692

90.769

New Model

98.460

98.460

98.460

NA

NA

NA

 

Panel-B (Holdout Sample)

 

Original model Accuracy

Re-estimated model Accuracy

 

Overall

Distressed

Non-Distressed

Overall

Distressed

Non-Distressed

Altman

61.538

25.641

97.436

88.462

87.179

89.744

Ohlson

64.103

97.436

30.769

89.744

87.179

92.308

Zmijewski

79.487

97.436

61.538

76.923

61.538

92.308

New Model

87.179

82.051

92.308

NA

NA

NA

  1. Source: Author’s estimation