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Table 8 The dynamic probability of informed trading for trading hour extension events

From: Impact of trading hours extensions on foreign exchange volatility: intraday evidence from the Moscow exchange

 

Extension 1 (TOD)

Extension 2 (TOM)

Extension 3 (TOD)

Extension 4 (TOM

Extension 5 (TOD)

Before

After

Before

After

Before

After

Before

After

Before

After

NBt (\(\varepsilon_{t}\) < 0)

2696

4080

724

675

6891

1515

5752

8884

11,370

13,350

NSt(\(\varepsilon_{t}\) > 0)

3940

2994

849

763

4544

992

5860

9219

12,050

18,761

NTt

14,500

15,294

3554

3445

24,707

4987

24,663

39,244

48,893

66,830

DPINt

0.458

0.463

0.443

0.417

0.463

0.503

0.471

0.461

0.479

0.480

∆DPINt

 + 

–

+ 

–

 + 

     
  1. TOD is the RUB/USD rate for same day settlement, TOM is the RUB/USD rate for next day settlement